A lot of variables that affects the market. My observations on this site the last 17 years is the price of new boats kept going up irregardless of the economy. During slow times it appeared that builds were significantly reduced and those boats at the dealers were just held over to the next year and sometimes longer than that. Major design changes didn't exist during that time. I don't remember anyone mentioning getting a killer deal because of a downturn in the economy. Most dealers rode it out or went under.

The used market was a completely different as in 2008-2010 people lost their jobs and the first to go were recreational toys. Many people took big hits on boats, RVs and even SUVs. The biggest factor is not so much price speculation but job security. If you can afford a boat now will you be able continue to make payments five years from now?