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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Mar 2017
    Location
    Middle TN
    Posts
    226

    Default Predictions for 2021 season

    This year for us on our lake was crazy with all the extra people. Tons of new boats everywhere, and boats flying off dealer lots. You think this pace will hold thru 2021? Or will there be a big sell off with people tried of making payments?
    '18 mojo

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Jun 2008
    Location
    Henderson, NV
    Posts
    6,016

    Default

    the number of boats hasn't really changed. manuf. still only produced "x" boats in 2020 so it's not like there was a flood of new product. I believe that where, say, 20% of the boat inventory nationwide were parked on dealer lots, they all sold and those that may have only gone 2x monthly started going 10x monthly. that's my opinion on what drove the increase in traffic. there wasn't an increase in manufacturing production that would be measurable.

    I think the market will slow a tad and boats will sit on lots for a little longer. IF 'rona is still a thing ramps will be just as busy. IF 'rona is contained/receding, 2021 will see a decline in ramp usage and some boat sales but 2022 will be the correction year.
    '06 Supra Launch 20SSV-gone but never forgotten

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Jun 2020
    Posts
    171

    Default

    Out west, if we don’t get sizable cold winter storms, lake levels will be too low to be boating. Our usual reservoir is 60+ ft below spillway and the ramp only has 30 ft submersed before the end of the concrete. This is supposed to be a La NiŮa year, and climate predictions are showing large blobs of warm pacific sea surface temps, which will decrease the likelihood of those storms. I’m torn on buying a ski pass this year. Usually if I buy a pass we have a crappy winter. If I buy a pass and am incapacitated by injuries or schoolwork, then winter snow will be awesome.

    If those winter storms don’t materialize, and the continued closures of the forests occur do to wildfire potential, I see a mass unloading of boats and RV’s late spring. The economy post election is a concern. Indicators are showing slowing in a number of economic areas. The housing bubble is also of concern to the economy. Current prices are unsustainable. The economy is such a difficult and complex issue, and I’d rather stick to weather predictions.
    2020 SA 450 Wife calls it White Cloud. Said it makes her feel "Classy"
    2017 Sanger V215sx. We call it Viagra because it's the little blue pill that gets everyone up (Sold)

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Aug 2009
    Location
    Richfield, WI
    Posts
    190

    Default

    Too much uncertainty at this time..Biden wins the economy will be f-ed, but Covid will disappear the next day. Trump wins we are guaranteed another 4 years of good economy, but Covid will stay around. Catch 22 here..

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Jun 2020
    Posts
    171

    Default

    Predictions for 2022 models: SL redesign, SR discontinued, heated bench and OB seats, Memory drivers seat, vision system updates, tower camera redesign or Bimini redesign.
    2020 SA 450 Wife calls it White Cloud. Said it makes her feel "Classy"
    2017 Sanger V215sx. We call it Viagra because it's the little blue pill that gets everyone up (Sold)

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Aug 2017
    Posts
    1,340

    Default

    I personally would not expect to see the SL redesigned. But maybe I guess?


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

  7. #7
    Join Date
    May 2018
    Posts
    2,455

    Default

    SR wonít be discontinued as itís a niche market option for size restricted lakes.

    SL is next inline for redesign, but it really doesnít need it. Perhaps upgrade to the 12Ē subs??

    SL could stand as is for 2-3 more years.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    2021 Supra SA 400
    2018 Supra SA 400 (SOLD)
    Michigan

  8. #8

    Default

    It will depend on what opens up. During summer of 2020 people were not traveling or vacationing. People could not go to a baseball, football, or basketball game. Some parks were closed, beaches were closed, museums were closed, bars were closed, restaurants were closed, and some stores were closed. People had nothing to do in 2020 so they purchased a boat. People who use their lake homes a couple times per summer spent their whole summer their lake homes. People who boat a few times per summer were out every weekend. People who never owned a boat purchased a boat.

    Will this continue in 2021? I can't see it continuing at the same pace. Given the polyclonal and monoclonal antibody treatments coming to market and vaccines on the way, I can't see 2021 looking like 2020 which means the boat market will not continue the same as 2020. However, some people new to the boat market will stay so I think lake traffic will continue to be up over 2019 but not as much as 2020. Surfing will clearly continue to drive inboard sales and I/O manufacturers will continue to try to grab a small amount of market share with their Volvo forward outdrives and small washy wakes. my 2 cents.
    Last edited by tre; 10-09-2020 at 12:41 PM.
    2020 Supra SE 450

  9. #9
    Join Date
    May 2018
    Posts
    2,455

    Default

    355% increase in boat loans from 2019.

    The boat and RV craze will go back to normal after the VID is cured.

    A lot of boats for sale in another 1-2 years, but SC didnít really increase production volume, perhaps the mass producers like Bu and MC did.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    2021 Supra SA 400
    2018 Supra SA 400 (SOLD)
    Michigan

  10. #10
    Join Date
    Nov 2010
    Location
    Katy, TX
    Posts
    6,147

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by tre View Post
    It will depend on what opens up. During summer of 2020 people were not traveling or vacationing. People could not go to a baseball, football, or basketball game. Some parks were closed, beaches were closed, museums were closed, bars were closed, restaurants were closed, and some stores were closed. People had nothing to do in 2020 so they purchased a boat. People who use their lake homes a couple times per summer spent their whole summer their lake homes. People who boat a few times per summer were out every weekend. People who never owned a boat purchased a boat.

    Will this continue in 2021? I can't see it continuing at the same pace. Given the polyclonal and monoclonal antibody treatments coming to market and vaccines on the way, I can't see 2021 looking like 2020 which means the boat market will not continue the same as 2020. However, some people new to the boat market will stay so I think lake traffic will continue to be up over 2019 but not as much as 2020. Surfing will clearly continue to drive inboard sales and I/O manufacturers will continue to try to grab a small amount of market share with their Volvo forward outdrives and small washy wakes. my 2 cents.
    Due to Covid-19 quarantines I see my 2021 season lasting about 1 good month (early June to early July) with maybe a couple weeks of cold water early spring and maybe a couple weeks of cold water later fall. It sucks big time.
    David

    2017 Moomba Mojo Max Surf Edition, 2 Pair Wetsounds Rev10s powered by an SD2, 6 pair Wetsounds XS650M and Wetsounds XS12 powered by SD6 all controlled by a WS420.

    SOLD***2008 Mobius LSV, Gravity III , Wake Plate, Z5, Exile SX65c's, Exile XM9s, Exile XI12D, Exile Javelin, Exile 30.2***SOLD

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